Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 8.351430 9.582682 10.952050 12.591312 14.504750 16.672889 19.323216
2025-02-16 6.515726 8.043999 9.885632 12.280289 15.329160 19.104249 24.168134
2025-02-23 5.490265 7.143789 9.255281 12.172377 16.133936 21.377791 28.929785
2025-03-02 4.768504 6.471667 8.750543 12.058157 16.794895 23.422754 33.556274
2025-03-09 4.197011 5.902508 8.276777 11.871559 17.260935 25.175708 37.931317
2025-03-16 3.715912 5.390138 7.802876 11.594105 17.513393 26.589915 41.928867
2025-03-23 3.521446 5.263780 7.860668 12.092616 18.970186 29.979028 49.491560
2025-03-30 3.273080 5.024388 7.713933 12.241989 19.871116 32.567956 56.074702
2025-04-06 3.012244 4.735898 7.455381 12.171154 20.382516 34.546072 61.847783
2025-04-13 2.772671 4.456219 7.179393 12.032797 20.747365 36.292010 67.420610
2025-04-20 2.657169 4.367397 7.204993 12.406710 22.047565 39.854538 76.964818
2025-04-27 2.535586 4.255628 7.178213 12.679407 23.185469 43.244387 86.675740
2025-05-04 2.455183 4.210280 7.266506 13.179258 24.829481 47.859175 99.775355
2025-05-11 2.256803 3.938987 6.927959 12.843173 24.804406 49.144682 105.908022
2025-05-18 2.110119 3.748112 6.717638 12.729114 25.205769 51.349270 114.455119
2025-05-25 1.977022 3.570770 6.515984 12.609080 25.575908 53.526386 123.293164
2025-06-01 1.847070 3.388571 6.288902 12.413079 25.758504 55.309134 131.471488
2025-06-08 1.717884 3.197599 6.028629 12.121678 25.697430 56.528923 138.440479
2025-06-15 1.689802 3.200576 6.149784 12.645271 27.512917 62.336928 158.364167
2025-06-22 1.624304 3.123971 6.103861 12.802181 28.505516 66.314758 174.120318
2025-06-29 1.540780 3.004541 5.960078 12.727771 28.943471 68.983474 186.719468
2025-07-06 1.457026 2.878446 5.792256 12.582437 29.192851 71.207158 198.455597
2025-07-13 1.427192 2.862186 5.855755 12.975223 30.816895 77.235280 222.801050